Sunday, September 30, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Despite Fears of an Imminent Market Correction, Several Bullish Chart Patterns Emerge- Part 2-The Stocks & Charts

Here are several stocks that I like. They are all showing interesting chart patterns and displaying technical strength


Stocks: AEY, HA, MCZ, NEOG, NG

AEY


Although I suffered a loss on AEY the last time I traded it, I still believe that the stock can make a good trade at the current price level. This is mostly due to the strong bounce off of the 50 day MA on robust volume. A small position is key at first. If it continues to improve, add more.


HA

HA has recently reclaimed its 50 day MA on huge surges of volume. This is signaling some institutional interest in the stock and may hint towards future upward moves.


MCZ

MCZ has successfully bounced off its 200 day MA on higher volume. The current price level provides a low-risk entry right above the 50 day MA.


NEOG

NEOG is a thinly traded stock that is experiencing increased volume during the last few trading sessions. The stock has recently announced strong Q1 earnings which is mostly likely the reason for the renewed interest in this NEOG.


NG


With gold stocks beginning to move into positive territory, it is a no-brainer for me to include a gold stock. NG is currently one of my favorite gold/silver setups. It has recently reclaimed its 50 day MA and has no strayed far from it, allowing one a low-risk entry into the stock.


---------------------------------------------------

Stocks to Add to:
Add to- APPY, BIDZ, CLDA, JST, POSH, SIMC, SQNM




I will try to post some more picks for tomorrow. In addition, I will try to mention some of the current stocks that one should add more to. Later.




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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Despite Fears of an Imminent Market Correction, Several Bullish Chart Patterns Emerge- Part 1

Assuming the market will be able to continue to hold itself up, there still isn't a shortage of buy-able chart setups on certain stocks. Sure, the next batch of breakouts and moves may be from more speculative issues, but when the object is to make some money and a decent return, who cares? This is definitely becoming a traders market.

The fears of a correction stem from two sources. The first source is the fact that the market has been performing "too well" and that it is technically due for a pullback. The second may stem from the speculative nature of the stocks that are starting to appear. There are many new and speculative issues with no earnings making new highs. Many of them are China stocks. This action is similar to the dot com era where risky, debt-loaded issues began to appear and make huge moves based solely on the fact that they were Internet companies. Could we be seeing the same thing with China stocks? My opinion is, not yet. As euphoric as the move in China stocks has been, it wasn't that spectacular.

The only thing that I'm implying is to use caution. The trend is still up and that simply means to continue to buy. Of course, one should be more cautious when dealing with speculative issues. For instance, do not put as much money in a speculative issue as you would in a higher-priced stock with an earnings track record. It is not worth risking it. I use the same strategy and always allocate less funds to speculative stocks.


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Friday, September 28, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

What's Hot and What's Not...
Today was a rather hit or miss type of day. There were several stocks that did quite well and there were others that I wish I never bought or mentioned. But that's how the market is. It's all about getting rid of the poor performing stocks as soon as possible and buying the ones that continue to show improvement.
So, lets take a look and see which stocks were hot and which ones flopped..

Hot Stock: ANW, APPY, BIDZ, CLDA, JST, SIMC, SQNM

Flopped: FSIN, PAET, BLOG, HURC, LNOP, OMTR, TSL, YGE

Sells: BLOG, LNOP, PAET, TSL, YGE

Slightly redeemed themselves: AERO, JASO, REDF




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Knobias Clip Report (9-28-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

NASI: Opens Higher Following First Procedure w/ClearPath-HDR Device

Shares of North American Scientific, Inc. (NASI) got an opening boost in Friday's session after it announced the use of its ClearPath-HDR device in a patient for the first time. For use in Accelerated Partial Breast Irradiation (APBI) treatment plans, ClearPath-HDR combines the ease-of-use benefits of balloon brachytherapy products with the customized dose planning benefits of the multi-catheter brachytherapy procedure into one device. This combination also allows doctors to take advantage of a shorter five-day APBI treatment plan, compared with the six to eight weeks required for external beam treatment plans. In addition, ClearPath is implanted through a single incision and is designed to minimize radiation exposure of nearby healthy tissue. The Company estimates that the ClearPath systems will serve an addressable market of more than $500 million.

"This first human clinical experience with ClearPath-HDR is a significant milestone," said John B. Rush, President and Chief Executive Officer of North American Scientific. "We believe our ClearPath technology is favorably distinguished from other products on the market, including balloon brachytherapy, interstitial catheters and external beam radiation due to its important benefits to the patient and physician. ClearPath can make APBI a possibility for more patients that were previously not considered good candidates for treatment with balloon brachytherapy products due to breast size and/or tumor location. With its ease-of-use, functionality and few treatment limiting requirements we believe ClearPath has the potential to encourage the use of APBI, a less invasive, more focused treatment option for many afflicted with breast cancer."

North American Scientific manufactures and sells products for the radiation oncology market. Its Prospera(R) brachytherapy seeds and SurTRAK(TM) needles and strands are used primarily in the treatment of prostate cancer. The Company also develops and markets brachytherapy accessories used in the treatment of disease and calibration sources used in medical, environmental, research and industrial applications.

The new ClearPath-HDR device for treatment of breast cancer is, like its competitors, designed to connect to a source of high-dose-rate radiation which is administered in a specially shielded room in a hospital. It faces competition from Cytyc Corp. (CYTC), SenoRx, Inc. (SENO) and Cianna Medical. The MammoSite RTS device from Cytyc, currently the market leader, uses a balloon and catheter system to place the radiation source directly into the post-lumpectomy cavity. A device developed by SenoRx also uses a balloon and catheter system to deliver the radiation dose. The SAVI device manufactured by Cianna Medical does not use a balloon and is comprised of an expandable bundle of catheters.

The primary competitors in the brachytherapy seed business include: Nycomed Amersham PLC (through its control of Oncura), C.R Bard, Inc. (BCR), and Theragenics Corporation (TGX). Several additional companies currently sell brachytherapy seeds as well. SurTRAK strands and needles are subject to competition from a number of companies, including Worldwide Medical Technologies, Inc.

For the third quarter ended July 31, 2007. the Company reported revenues of $3.4 million and a net loss from continuing operations of $0.10 per share, compared with revenues of $3.0 million and a net loss in 2006 of $0.10 per share. As of July 31, 2007, the Company has an accumulated deficit of $144.6 million; cash and cash equivalents of $1.8 million; borrowings under a line of credit of $1.4 million; and no long-term debt.

The Company recently divested its NOMOS Radiation Oncology business, which develops and markets IMRT/IGRT products used during external beam radiation therapy for the treatment of cancer. The purchase price was $500,000 cash at closing, plus assumption of certain obligations and liabilities.The divestiture allows the Company to utilize financial resources for the marketing and development of its brachytherapy products.

A notice from The Nasdaq Stock Market indicated last week that the Company does not comply with the minimum $10 million stockholders' equity requirement. In addition, the Company does not comply with the minimum $50 million market value of listed securities for continued listing. The Company will submit a plan that it believes will allow it to achieve and sustain compliance.


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Friday, September 28, 2007

New Buy Ideas: ACM, CLDA, CROX, HLF, HURC, JST, TLEO, TTES, UIC,


Add To: ANW, CFSG, EXM, FSIN, OMTR, POSH, SQNM, TWI, TWTI

Sell Ideas: AERO, BLOG, JASO, LNOP, PAET REDF, TSL, YGE, (considered sells if they do not show any improvement near tomorrow's close)


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Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 27, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 27, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Pliniusis not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer

Make sure you change the date in the post accordingly. Then click on the icon which allows you to upload image, click on browse (to find the picture on your computer and go to the proper folder) and then click on upload. Please note that the code created by the upload feature is usually not created at the right place (it usually appears at the top of the post) and you may have to cut and paste into proper place. The code for the image should be placed right above

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Knobias Clip Report (9-27-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

ADGO: New Hybrid Clubs Could Increase Profits

The official golfing season came to an end recently with the Tour Championship which has now been renamed the FedEx Cup. Even with the end of the official PGA season, there are still numerous tournaments with some of the young up and comers and savvy veterans that try to grind out a living playing golf.

One of those tournaments is in the hometown of Knobias. The Viking Classic is being played this week at Annadale Golf Club in Madison, MS. The tournament has become a favorite of many in the area as being one of the only instances a top professional sport is played in state.

With golf being on the agenda for many this weekend, it only seems fitting to highlight a name in the small cap space related to the sport.

One name that seemed extremely overlooked was Adams Golf Inc. (ADGO). The Company was founded in 1987 by Barney Adams in Texas and concentrated on custom fitting and new product developments. The Company’s first big hit was the Tight Lies fairway wood.

With the low profile and center of gravity, the club created an uproar with pros and weekend players alike, quickly establishing a name for itself with the niche woods. Currently, the Company offers more than one category of product within each segment of the industry. Drivers, fairway woods, hybrids, irons, integrated sets, and wedges are all available with the Adams brand.

The Company is clearly an underdog in the golfing industry with Nike, Titliest, and Callaway dominating the space. Nike (NKE) is a huge conglomerate offering many other products in many different sports. Titliest is a part of Fortune Brands (FO) which also offers alcoholic drinks and home and hardware products. Callaway (ELY) is a pure play in the sector and is comparable to the Adams name.

ELY trades at around a 23 price to earnings multiple on a GAAP basis. The Company also has $55 million in short term debt with only $48 million in cash on hand according to their latest earnings report. On a GAAP basis, the Company also sports a 112% earnings growth rate over the trailing twelve months. Again, this is GAAP and not non-GAAP adjusted numbers. On an adjusted basis, the Company has a price to earnings ratio of 20 with a growth rate of 66%.

Adams on the other hand sports a GAAP price to earnings ratio of 6, $7.8 million in cash, and no short term or long term debt. Earnings growth in the trailing twelve months is 65%. The numbers may be skewed somewhat from an income tax benefit from tax loss carryforwards. Also of concern are the $10.6 million in accounts payable and the $10.5 million in accrued expenses. None the less, the name still looks fairly undervalued when comparing it to Callaway.

Add to the fact that the Company recently announced the launch of their new Idea a3OS Hybrid Irons and the name becomes even more compelling. The irons have been noted as the easiest-to-hit set of irons in golf. The engineers integrated six hybrids with two cavity-back short irons to achieve results for maximum-game improvement.

In any event, as the baby boomers hit the retirement stages of their careers, golf will undoubtedly take a larger portion of their time and dispensable income. With golf being an extremely hard sport to master, any type of improvement in technology has always been met with extremely sound demand. The clubs, though possibly not fit for all who play, could make the game much easier for this aging group of retirees as anyone who has ever played knows that hitting hybrids are much easier than traditional clubs. In any event, with a clean up of the accounts receivable and accrued expenses cleanup without acquiring debt or dilution, along with a favorable response from their new irons, the name is certainly one to follow over the coming months. Investors would be wise to watch.



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Thursday, September 27, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

In Play: FSIN
Here is a hot new issue. FSIN is a Chinese metals and wire manufacturer. Given how China related stocks are the "in" thing on Wall Street, FSIN may be a big mover if the current momentum continues.


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

In Play: BLOG, SQNM
Here are two interesting stocks to check out. At the moment both are heating up the charts and showing tremendous strength and increasing volume. Keep an eye on them: BLOG, SQNM


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Picks and Trade Ideas for Thursday, September 27, 2007

New Potential/Possible Buy Candidates: ACM, FFHL, GMST, GPOR, HLF, ITRI, ZINC (rebuy)

Add To: POSH (preparing to breakout of cup w/handle base..just needs a catalyst and some volume)

These are just a few stock ideas. I will continue to look and may post some more in the morning before the market open...

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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

End of Day Recap

Overall, today was a good day. Most of my top holdings held their own and ended up posting modest gains. Some of today's favorites were APPY, AXYS, and BKR. Others such as EXM and SNDA ended up closing negative, mostly from profit taking. I will try and post some stock picks and trade ideas for tomorrow a bit later.


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Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Knobias Clip Report (9-26-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

ENEI: Receives Second Contract in the Past Two Weeks

Wednesday’s session saw the Dow in the green as news that the auto giant GM and the UAW agreed to preliminary terms effectively ending the strike for the time being. Many in the industry believed the agreement between the two could cause other automakers to cut health care costs as the pact with GM included plans for an independent retiree health care trust. Following the news, shares gained some 7%, which was also fueled by energy inventory reports showing large increases compared to expectations.

In the small cap space, one company announced another contract in the vehicle arena though it is in the alternative energy space.

Ener1, Inc. (ENEI) is an alternative energy technology company that is developing lithium ion batteries for hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) at its 80.5% owned EnerDel subsidiary, commercial fuel cell products through its EnerFuel subsidiary, and nanotechnology- based materials and manufacturing processes for batteries and other applications at its NanoEner subsidiary.

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) announced on Wednesday that it had awarded Ener1's EnerDel subsidiary a $2.5 million contract over two years for plug-in hybrid vehicle (PHEV) research. The award is for the development of cells for 10 and 40 mile range PHEVs using nano-phase lithium titanate coupled with a high voltage Nickel-Manganese cathode material.

The deal was the second one announced in the past few weeks. On September 18th, the Company announced that its EnerDel subsidiary was awarded a lithium-ion battery technology development contract from the United States Advanced Battery Consortium (USABC), an organization whose members are Chrysler LLC, Ford Motor Company and General Motors Corporation.

USABC awarded the contract in collaboration with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) to develop lithium-ion battery technology for hybrid-electric vehicle applications. The 18-month contract, valued at $6.5 million, is the second of a three-phase USABC program and requires a 50 percent cost share. EnerDel successfully completed Phase I in June.

"We are pleased to award this contract to EnerDel as part of USABC's battery technology research and development program," said Don Walkowicz, executive director of USCAR in the press release. "The program is essential to advancing the goals of the FreedomCAR and Fuel Partnership, yielding both near and long-term benefits for hybrid-electric and hydrogen-fueled transportation."

Subhash Dhar, President of Ener1, said in the release, "We are pleased that USABC has awarded the Phase II contract based upon the success we have demonstrated in Phase I. The contract award recognizes our efforts to date, and the funds will greatly help EnerDel to deliver potentially breakthrough technology in finished product form." Ulrik Grape, Chief Executive Officer of EnerDel, added, "We expect to deliver results that will meet and exceed the battery performance requirements of USABC and the DOE and that will set a very high standard of performance in the United States."

USABC is a consortium of the United States Council for Automotive Research (USCAR). Its mission is to develop electrochemical energy storage technologies that support commercialization of fuel cell, hybrid and electric vehicles. USABC has a cooperative agreement with the DOE for research and development of battery technologies.

With the two contracts, the Company has effectively increased their revenue dramatically and withstanding a positive result from their research and developing, become one investors would be wise to watch.



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Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 26, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 26, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Pliniusis not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer

Make sure you change the date in the post accordingly. Then click on the icon which allows you to upload image, click on browse (to find the picture on your computer and go to the proper folder) and then click on upload. Please note that the code created by the upload feature is usually not created at the right place (it usually appears at the top of the post) and you may have to cut and paste into proper place. The code for the image should be placed right above

Click Image to Enlarge

.




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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Trade Journal
New Buys:

Added To: APPY

Sell-Profit: ARCI (sold some of my position for a 45% gain), NWK (+23%)

Sell-Loss:



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Knobias Clip Report (9-25-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

MOVI: Announces Store Closings in Restructuring Effort

Tuesday’s session was dominated with talk of housing numbers being disparaging across the board. Sales of existing homes fell 4.3% to a seasonally adjusted 5.5M while inventories of unsold single family homes rose to an 18 year high. Prices in 15 of 20 major cities also dropped over the past year.

The glut of unsold homes has the market a bit uneasy as the overall spectrum of the supply and lack of demand is becoming clearer. Many attributed the numbers to the credit freeze in August caused many to sales to fall through. While true, year over year numbers still display a gross imbalance that could linger for some time.

In the small cap space, one Company is also experiencing somewhat of a glut and attempting to do a bit of cleaning to attempt to become profitable once again.

Movie Gallery Inc. (MOVI) which was the second largest North American video rental company under the brands Movie Gallery, Hollywood Video and Game Crazy, announced that the Company plans to close approximately 520 underperforming and unprofitable Movie Gallery and Hollywood Video stores.

The Company had previously announced that they has been accelerating their efforts to conserve cash and reduce the Company's cost structure to address the financial and industry challenges it had been experiencing.

Joe Malugen, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Movie Gallery, said in the press release, “Closing these stores was a difficult, but necessary decision to help protect the future of this Company. These stores are being closed after evaluating a number of factors, including store profits and the terms of the leases at each location. This action will allow us to focus our resources on the approximate 4,000 stores that have a stronger operating performance and prospects for future growth. We thank our many associates and partners who have remained loyal to us over the years,” continued Malugen in the release. “Where possible we will work with the customers at these locations to transfer their accounts to other nearby Movie Gallery and Hollywood Video locations. The talented associates and partners in the stores that will be closing have been notified. As always, we remain committed to treating all affected employees fairly and providing the necessary assistance to make this transition as smooth as possible.”

On August 28th, the Company announced an extension on forbearance agreements with their senior lenders. Lenders under its First Lien Credit Facility have executed a further extension of the forbearance agreement. Under the revised agreements, the senior lender group will forbear until September 30, 2007 from exercising rights and remedies arising from existing defaults, absent any new defaults under the senior credit facility or the Forbearance Agreement.

The question is what is the Company going to do with these locations? Some of them have to be owned and a liquidation of these assets would allow for the Company to pay the interest on the credit facilities that have had forbearance extensions until the end of September. The only problem is that liquidating assets that quickly will most likely cause the Company to accept lower than market value.

Following the announcement, shares gained some 15% to close at 59 cents. With another forbearance agreement or additional information about store closings and possible liquidation, shares could see a follow through while the name attempts to restructure and rebuild itself to profitability. Investors would be wise to watch.



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Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 25, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 25, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Pliniusis not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer

Make sure you change the date in the post accordingly. Then click on the icon which allows you to upload image, click on browse (to find the picture on your computer and go to the proper folder) and then click on upload. Please note that the code created by the upload feature is usually not created at the right place (it usually appears at the top of the post) and you may have to cut and paste into proper place. The code for the image should be placed right above

Click Image to Enlarge

.



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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stocks In Focus For Tomorrow
Potential Buys: FMCN, UIC

Add to: APPY, BW, NTCT, SIMC


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

After Market Check Up: DJIA creates a Pivot Point
Okay, so I didn't get to sell CPSL at 11 and I didn't get a chance to pick up more BKR at its LOD. But still, it's all good. The impressive 3 day run in APPY has already made up for both of those small mishaps. In addition, the DJIA and NASDAQ have managed to improve their chart setups and have even created pivot points. These pivot points are a bullish indication which show that the financial markets are more resilient to the current credit worries and housing slump. This current patch of market strength should make the rest of the week more interesting.


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Knobias Clip Report (9-24-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

MCZ: Could See Increased Sales on Halo 3 Debut

As many know, gamers have fairly deep pockets and are very willing to dig into those pockets for some of the most popular titles. The crowds that amassed for the newest Xbox a couple of years ago and the PlayStation 3 last year display the fact that when there is something new in the gaming world, the fanatics will go to any length to acquire the product.

Well, the latest product to hit the shelves will be Halo 3. Its predecessors have been the staple in the Xbox’s line of games. When Halo 2 was released in the late fall 2004, it managed $125 million in sales within a day of its arrival. Many analysts were predicting some $200 million in sales the first week for Halo 3.

The release could have a trickle down effect in the small cap space. Mad Catz Interactive, Inc. (MCZ) could receive attention from traders and possible be lumped in as a ‘Halo’ play. The Company designs and markets a full range of accessories for video game systems and publishes video game software, including the GameShark brand of video game enhancements. Mad Catz has distribution through most leading retailers offering interactive entertainment products.

In May, the Company announced that it had entered into an agreement with Microsoft to produce faceplates featuring characters from the Halo 3 video game. Currently, the Company has those faceplates for sale on its website in an accessories bundle which includes an additional controller and earpiece for $69.97 or singular for only $29.97.

The faceplates are somewhat similar to the faceplates you’ll find on cellphones which can be snapped into place with the user’s favorite team, color, or any other picture imprinted onto the phone cover. These faceplates for the Xbox also come with side stickers to fully cover the Xbox with the user’s desired theme.

The Company also recently expanded its license agreement with the NFL whereby it produces customized NFL team controllers and other accessories for the PlayStation(R)2, PlayStation 3, Xbox, Xbox 360, PSP, Nintendo DS Lite, and Nintendo Wii gaming consoles. The new agreement expands the original 2004 license agreement between Mad Catz and the NFL to allow the Company to distribute licensed products in Canada, Mexico and the United Kingdom, in addition to the U.S.

Also of note is Mad Catz latest acquisition. On September 7th, the Company reported that it had acquired assets and assumed certain liabilities of Joytech from Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) for approximately $3.7 million.

Joytech had been a wholly owned subsidiary of TTWO and was one of the largest manufacturers and distributors of third-party video game accessories. All Joytech products are designed and built in-house, providing gamers with high-quality products for all the gaming consoles, as well as PCs, at competitive prices. By acquiring the Company, Mad Catz diversified its geographical locations since Joytech has its headquarters in Windsor England and could attempt to capitalize from its recent license expansion with the NFL in the United Kingdom.

In any event with the Halo 3 debut, the Company could see increased attention as a sympathy type play, though the faceplates won’t be a very large part of their overall sales. The Company has made strides becoming more geographically diverse and has cleaned up its balance sheet in past quarters, and with that in mind, investors would be wise to watch.




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Monday, September 24, 2007

Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 24, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 24, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



Ducimus Pliniusis not a registered investment advisor. Please read the complete Small Cap Stocks Blog Disclaimer



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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Topping Patterns: Solar Energy Stocks

Just as they seemed to have enough momentum to continue their climb, many of the solar plays seem to be putting in topping out chart patterns. This shouldn't be too surprising especially if one considers their exhaustive runs. I actually thought that they would have had the strength to close a bit more positively but profit taking has taken its toll on the solar energy stocks by the end of the market day. I bought JASO today and I have held YGE for some time now. I'll have to let them go if they continue to show weakness.

YGE: Although it closed up 5%, its chart pattern shows an indecisive close at best.

JASO: JASO reversed the 52 wk high that it established earlier on and actually closed in the negative, near its LOD.

FSLR: Similar mixed sentiment close (like YGE).

STP: Mixed/Indecisive close

SPWR: Reversed earlier gains and closed negative

LDK: Closed negative.

At the moment, TSL has the best looking technical pattern. In fact, I may substitute either JASO or YGE for TSL. We'll see tomorrow.


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Trade Journal
New Buys: BIDZ, CPSL, DSX, EXM, JASO

Added To: YGE

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Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 21, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 21, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


Click Image to Enlarge



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Sunday, September 23, 2007

Knobias Clip Report (9-21-2007)

Sumbmited From Knobias ClipReport

CTIB: Balloon Maker Inflating Revenue with New Product

Friday’s session saw the Dow gain 53 points with the focus shifting from the Fed’s recent announcement and onto third quarter earnings which are beginning to be released. Nike and Oracle surprised and spurred optimism amid heavy volume caused by expiring futures and options contracts.

For the time being, the market seems to be focused on future earnings though it will undoubtedly keep an ear to the ground as many Fed governors are scheduled to speak over the coming weeks. In this type of environment, it might be wise to find cheap places to park cash while the market decides which direction it plans to move.

One company that fits the bill is CTI Industries Corporation (CTIB). The Company and its subsidiaries design, manufacture, and distribute metallized and latex balloon products and operate systems for the production, lamination, coating and printing of films.

Trailing twelve month numbers for the Company display revenue of $35.8 million, net income of $1.8 million, and diluted earnings per share of 81c. Much of the trailing twelve month EPS number come from the fourth quarter in which the Company reported earnings of 49c. Fourth quarter income included a tax benefit of $834,000. Absent the tax benefit, CTIB's earnings before tax for the fourth quarter were $319,000 or 13c a share. Subtracting the tax benefit in the fourth quarter from trailing EPS gives the Company an EPS of 45c which shows shares trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 9.93.

What probably isn’t factored into the price is that sales may receive a boost from a new product. During the second quarter of 2007, the Company commenced marketing and sales efforts for its new line of zippered vacuum pouches directed to the sportsman market which is being offered under the name Zip Vac.(TM) The product line includes a package containing three quart and two gallon zippered vacuum pouches, a hand pump and a battery-operated pump. Additional pouches are offered in a separate container. The pouches are intended for use in the storage and vacuum sealing of food and other items to protect against exposure and to extend freshness or useful life.

In the earnings release on August 15th, John Schwan, Chairman and Executive Vice President of the Company said, “We have received a purchase order from one retail chain for our ZipVac(TM) line and indications of interest from several others. We anticipate that production and deliveries of the ZipVac(TM) line will commence during the third quarter of 2007.”

The Company is also involved in the development of zippered bags with a consumer product company but has not received a purchase commitment from the Company.

With continued growth in revenue expected over the coming quarters, the Company could become one to follow over the coming quarters. The only risk, though it is a fairly large one, is further dilution due to lack of cash. According to their latest earnings statement, the Company only had some $528 thousand in cash on hand. Accounts receivable was $5.6 million but a company can not fund operations using it without off balance sheet, accounts receivable financing. The Company does have a Standby Equity Distribution Agreement (SEDA) with Cornell Capital Partners, LP in place, which as of their latest 10-K still had some 260 thousand shares that could be sold for capital needs. Further, the terms are fairly favorable with shares being priced at their proceeding 5 day average volume weighted average price (VWAP).

Also relevant was the Company’s $9 million dollar short term debt balance. If the Company can withstand this cash crunch while still concentrating on capitalizing from their new ZipVac product line especially with the annual hunting season approaching, the name could be one investors would be wise to watch.


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Follow The Leaders: China Stocks, Solar Energy Plays and Shipping Companies and More

As this post's title suggests, the current markets leaders are clearly China Stocks (YGE, JRJC), Solar Stocks (FSLR, ASTI, LDK, JASO, etc), and Shipping Companies (EXM, DSX, DAC, etc). Of course, the Oil and Petroleum related stocks/companies (as well as those that perform engineering and field services for the industry) are holding their own with the price of oil at record levels. Some stocks in this sector include ARD, NOV, DWSN, and FTK.


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Friday, September 21, 2007

Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Trade Journal (September 21, 2007)
New Buys: ASTI (finally decided to rebuy. So far so good), HSVLY, INXI (finally rebought...so far so good)

Added To: AEY, APPY, ARTW, BKR, BW, EHTH, SGU, SLI, TOD

Sell-Profit: MHJ (some of my position for an 18%+ return), SIMC (some of my position for a 65%+ return)

Sell -Loss: SILC (some of my position for a 8.7% loss)

Still Not Touching: JRJC (give me a nice pullback first)

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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Stock Analyst Assault...
This week has been very rocky for certain stocks as a string of analyst downgrades trimmed more than a few points off most of the markets would-be winners. Some of my stocks have been hit as well including: NWK, OMTR, and SILC. Be careful when playing with stocks that have been downgraded by analysts. Although analysts are often wrong in their assessment and sometimes upgrade and downgrade stocks for their best interest, it is wise to just stay clear of the drama that may ensue. Remember that analysts and their evaluations hold weight and their advice is acted upon by investment banks. It's their word against your stock holdings, thoughts and beliefs. Although I've had some past success with stocks that were downgraded by analysts (PLXS-downgraded 3 times before it broke out), it seldom makes sense holding a loss in a stock that has taken a hit after an analysts rash thoughts on the companies future prospects, when there are plenty of other stocks out there showing strength.

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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

In Play: BKR, SLI

Today's In Play Candidates: BKR and SLI

BKR and SLI are two of the top AMEX stocks at the moment. They are CANSLIM in quality and have strong technicals as well as fundamental qualities. I will post charts of both of these stocks after the market close.


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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

The Indices Need a Bit More Work...
As bullish as the markets may seem, they still have room for improvement. Yesterday's close across most of the major indices (except for the Russell), were mostly indecisive, with some of them pointing more toward a negative bias. The only positive aspect was that volume was significantly lower, indicating a low volume pullback (on both the DJIA and the Nasdaq).


DIJA



NASDAQ



Russell 2000


S&P 500



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Market Comments Submitted by Nick at Ambitions as a Stock Trader

Submitted by My Ambitions as a Trader and Investor

Trade Ideas for Friday, September 21, 2007
Here are several trade ideas to work with for today....

Add to: ATRO, AXYS, BKR, MPWR

New Buys: VSEC (rebuy)

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Market Scan for Small Cap Stocks on September 20, 2007

Submitted by Ducimus Plinius

Market Scan for small cap stocks
at the close of the markets on September 3, 2007


The table below identifies the stocks returned on my scan of the US markets for small capitalizations stocks likely to display the characteristics of stocks entering Phase II, as described by Stan Weinstein.


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